Logic in the Xindi Plot

[ray gower]

Can anybody tell me where my thoughts are going astray in my understanding of the concept behind the Xindi war?

Some Mystic Meg (who may or may not be an ant) looks in her crystal ball and says, "The planet Earth is going to obliterate us in 400 years time!"
Okay so far. But there are problems!
1/ Mystic Meg unlikely to be a Xindi, otherwise one could ask her to not go quite as far into the future and find out who did what where to create the situation.
2/ Even more probable is that she cannot have come from the future, for much the same reasoning and it is much easier to look in a history book.

So Mystic Meg is probably a foreigner, with no alterior motives, of unimpeachable moral character, therefore must be right e.g. a Sulliban?

Rather than say, "Pull the other one, its got bells on!" (logical). The Xindi launch a half baked attack, knowing that the Earth will pull out all the stops to respond.

Which makes it something of a self-fullfilling prophesy.

Of course 400 years in the future assumes that Star Fleet have managed to miss a gurt lump of local space, when building their 800 ly empire and would it not put them rather close to the Dominium War as well, where they have slightly bigger problems?

 

[Dave]

I also have problems with the plot-line, but I think I can answer one point. I've only seen the first ep of S3, but in the dialogue it was clear that the Xindii didn't think that the Earth would know where the attack came from. They were surprised that Enterprise was now heading directly towards them.

Of course, why they used an experimental weapon on Earth and showed us their hand without waiting until it was fully tested, and then finishing us off completely is never explained either. That seems to be the biggest gaffe to me.

 

[ray gower]

Perhaps they were hoping the one test would be enough to have Earth waving a white flag?

Which means not only is their future history too sketchy to make a decision, but so is their recent history. Or they would have known what an arrogant bunch Star Fleet are?