Thanks for the link to the links. I didn't even know two of those were available.
On the nominees, beginning with the short fiction, I honestly don't care to go back to read the Bolander or even the Rustad. I will read the El-Mohtar and Krasnoff now that I know they're available but I haven't yet. So, of the remaining three of Miller, Wong, and Yoachim, Miller would almost certainly win but I'd go with the Yoachim though, ironically, that wasn't even
her best short story last year. For instance, "The Right Place to Start a Family" (
Humanity 2.0) was better.
Of the novelettes, I can't access Ledbetter or Wilde. I don't care to go back to read Stufflebeam. Of the remaining three of Pinsker, Sanford, and Wong, I'd go with the Pinsker.
Of the novellas, I can't access any of them but the Murphy, which I have read. Ironically, this list of one is the best - there may well have been better novellas published last year but I don't know of them and I wouldn't have a problem with this winning a Nebula in the abstract. But it probably won't.
I have zero interest in any of those novels. If I had to read one, I'd probably read the Lee, which has gotten a fair amount of buzz but I suspect the Anders will win.
In the short story and novelette categories I can make an entire short list I'd vote for before any of the actual nominees and I didn't even read much of 2016's short fiction.
Novelette
"
The Art of Space Travel" by Nina Allan
"Cold Comfort" by Pat Murphy & Paul Doherty (
Bridging Infinity)
"
Extraction Request" by Rich Larson
"
Fifty Shades of Grays" by Steven Barnes
"They Have All One Breath" by Karl Bunker (
Asimov's)
Short Story
"
Mika Model" by Paolo Bacigalupi
"
The One Who Isn't" by Ted Kosmatka
"A Right Jolly Old..." by James L. Cambias (
Conspiracy!)
"Seven Birthdays" by Ken Liu (
Bridging Infinity)
"The Silver Strands of Alpha Crucis-D" by N. J. Schrock (
F&SF)
"
Successor, Usurper, Replacement" by Alice Sola Kim
"
Take Us to Your Chief" by Drew Hayden Taylor *
* assuming this is eligible - published in Canada in 2016 and US/worldwide in 2017 so I dunno.
Also, I love "
Down and Out" by Ken Wharton which was in a book clearly published in 2016 but which is dated 2017 so I'm pretty sure it's not eligible until next year. I think it's a genuinely good story but I'll also admit it punches my particular buttons. I don't feel most of the others do. In other words, they're not generally the cup of tea I'd special-order but they strike me as undeniably good and better than the actual noms I've read. Curious if others have read these (from either or both lists) and what they think.