Considering the current advances of AI how likely do you think an AI might replace you in your job?

how likely do you think an AI might replace you in your job in 10 years?

  • Total voters
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Wayne Mack said:
I see a lot of inappropriate extrapolations of one statistic to a different population. To say that AI will reduce one person's workload by 5% is not equivalent to saying the 5% of that workforce is not unneeded. I see AI tools as potentially augmenting workers with unknown effects on the number of workers employed.

I also question whether the small number of relatively expensive AI platforms makes it plausible to replace wide spread, day to day activities within organizations. It is kind of like extrapolating how shuttle launches into space could do away with daily traffic jams.
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This will be a hit with startups... it will not replace programmers ... yet. But oh my if it is impressive ( even if it takes 15 minutes to generate the code).

 
I think I will get so sick of being told about workplace AI that I will throw myself through the office window, at which point an AI will repair the window.

(Which isn't the fault of anyone here.)
 
AllanR said:
www.techspot.com

It's happening: AI chatbot to replace human order-takers at Wendy's drive-thru

According to Wendy's Chief Executive Todd Penegor, the test bot will be "very conversational" and some customers might not even realize they aren't talking to a human...
www.techspot.com www.techspot.com
Click to expand...
Several restaurants have had static computers to take orders for some time. Many restaurants prefer that you order over your phone. Several restaurant chains have had order and payment tablets on each table for years. The McDonalds near me requires you to use a flat screen to put in your order. Any claim that replacing these jobs is the unique domain of "AI Chatbots" is overstated.
 
Cthulhu.Science said:
Several restaurants have had static computers to take orders for some time. Many restaurants prefer that you order over your phone. Several restaurant chains have had order and payment tablets on each table for years. The McDonalds near me requires you to use a flat screen to put in your order. Any claim that replacing these jobs is the unique domain of "AI Chatbots" is overstated.
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As I've said in previous posts: technological change is always present. As technology advances some old jobs are destroyed and new ones are created. This time there are two potential problems
1) The rate of change might be a lot faster than in previous technological roll-outs.
2) There might be now new jobs... or maybe they will still exist but require you to have a doctorate.

The only jobs in danger right now are clerk positions. We are at a stage where we can still see the potential risks and maybe take some actions to change the current social agreement.
 
Tom Lehrer once described folk music as "the fashionable form of idiocy among the middle classes" and I think AI is starting to become the equivalent of that in management. Any nonsense becomes viable if you can mention AI and stick some clip art of a friendly robot on it. Undoubtedly there are some real issues here, but it's turning into the "thinking outside the box" for the 2020s.

Maybe someone could create an AI that generates nonsense about AIs?
 
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There’s going to be some hefty new AI trained by this hefty new supercomputer

newatlas.com

Nvidia unveils AI supercomputer that will put you out of a job much faster

While AI systems amaze and alarm the world in equal measure, they’re about to get even more powerful. Nvidia has announced a new class of supercomputer that will train the next generation of AI models, and put us all out of work far faster.
newatlas.com newatlas.com
 
If this is accurate, then AI replaced 4000 jobs last month.
www.cbsnews.com

AI eliminated nearly 4,000 jobs in May, report says

A report of U.S. job cuts showed roughly 5% of job losses in May were due to AI technology.
www.cbsnews.com www.cbsnews.com

If that becomes the norm and the average every month, then “in ten years” (as per this thread’s title) will mean 480,000 jobs.
The numbers won’t stay the same, of course, so that’s going to turn out to be very inaccurate
 
Harpo said:
If this is accurate, then AI replaced 4000 jobs last month.
www.cbsnews.com

AI eliminated nearly 4,000 jobs in May, report says

A report of U.S. job cuts showed roughly 5% of job losses in May were due to AI technology.
www.cbsnews.com www.cbsnews.com

If that becomes the norm and the average every month, then “in ten years” (as per this thread’s title) will mean 480,000 jobs.
The numbers won’t stay the same, of course, so that’s going to turn out to be very inaccurate
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I'd be interested in how an out placement firm determined the reason for people being fired. It is also interesting that in the specific examples given, most show that AI failed to adequately replace people.
 
Wayne Mack said:
I'd be interested in how an out placement firm determined the reason for people being fired. It is also interesting that in the specific examples given, most show that AI failed to adequately replace people.
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There have been ‘a few’ cases over the decades when people failed to adequately replace people.
 
Wayne Mack said:
I'd be interested in how an out placement firm determined the reason for people being fired. It is also interesting that in the specific examples given, most show that AI failed to adequately replace people.
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Usually when a recession people get fired... firms seek ways to reduce costs and start automating or outsourcing tasks which are not part of theri core business.
The reason may not be automation, but a fall in profits, followed by a wave of automation.
 
Wayne Mack said:
I'd be interested in how an out placement firm determined the reason for people being fired. It is also interesting that in the specific examples given, most show that AI failed to adequately replace people.
Click to expand...


I'm not sure that this would be used as a measure of whether to use AI or not. We all know that 'intelligent' phone systems that did away with real people and gave us 'options' to choose from instead are nowhere near as good. But they still continue to be used. If 300 people working in a service centre can be replaced with an AI terminal that can do an 'okay' job, but save the company £200-£300k a year in salaries and overheads, then that's what will happen.
 
Harpo said:
If this is accurate, then AI replaced 4000 jobs last month.
www.cbsnews.com

AI eliminated nearly 4,000 jobs in May, report says

A report of U.S. job cuts showed roughly 5% of job losses in May were due to AI technology.
www.cbsnews.com www.cbsnews.com

If that becomes the norm and the average every month, then “in ten years” (as per this thread’s title) will mean 480,000 jobs.
The numbers won’t stay the same, of course, so that’s going to turn out to be very inaccurate
Click to expand...
While 4,000 jobs were lost to whatever, 339,000 new jobs were added. So that's roughly a 1% ratio.


 
I'm not worried. The whole point of technology, right from the word go, was to create a human paradise where machines do all the work for us and we live a life of leisure with noble pursuits like art and stuff, a bit like the Eloi minus the Morlocks or everyone in Diaspar. What we got was a world in which we have to devote more time to work than our ancestors did, albeit a different kind of work. We are now stressed bees full of health problems. Will AI create the paradise? I'm not holding my breath.
 
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Justin Swanton said:
What we got was a world in which we have to devote more time to work than our ancestors did, albeit a different kind of work.
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Hmmm. I'm not quite sure of the accuracy of that one. Most of us work maybe 8 hours a day 5 days a week. Most of our ancestors would have killed for such short hours, even if extended to 6 days a week. They basically worked all the hours of daylight. Though I guess it depends on how far you go back with the ancestors.
 
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