My Pet Crackpot Theorey HR=TOS

Weasel Soup

Yes, It Comes with Freys
Joined
Sep 22, 2006
Messages
412
Please bear with the length of this post, but considering what this theorey is it takes alot of explaining.

Howland Reed = Tom O' Sevens

It has always bothered me that Howland did not raise his banners when Robb called, even though he was one of Ned's closest friends and likely aware of R+L=J.

The first mention we have of the Reed's is when Jojen and Meera come to Winterfell to swear fealty. The quote of note to me in this encounter is (Bran's voice):

"He was curious about these mudmen. He could not recall ever seeing one before. His father had sent letters to the Lord of Greywater over the years, but none of the crannogmen had ever called at Winterfell."

This, to me, becomes important much later on, when unCat leads the Brave Companions post Dondarrion. unCat, or Cat for that matter would not recognize Howland, and also the same can be said for Arya.

So we know that Howland sends Jojen and Meera to Winterfell, and they inturn help mentor Bran with his Warg-ing abilities largely through Jojen's greensight and their passage to see Coldhands. It would be rather safe to say that Howland would know through Jojen's greensight certain aspects of history to come, (that is if Howland does not have greensight himself) from the winged wolf to the drowning of Winterfell. In this way, at least one of the heirs to Winterfell is kept safe.

It is after Ned's death that Jojen and Meera arrive in Winterfell, and it would be at this time that Howland would have left Greywater and joined company with the Brave Companions.

First appearance of Tom O'Sevens, he is described as such:

"A small man, fifty from the look of him,he had a big mouth, a sharp nose and thinning brown hair. His faded Greens were mended here and there with old leather patches........The man beside him stood a good foot taller....."

This description seems consistant with a crannogman.

In his discussions with Arya, whom he pays much more attention than Gendry or Hot Pie, he is much gentler than the other of the Brave Companions.

Then while talking with Gendry a few pages later, a somewhat cryptic comment from Tom o' Sevens, when Gendry contests they would not have found them....

"Now, Lad, You shouldn't be so certain of that" said Tom. "Sometimes a man knows more than he says."

While the comment in the context of the discussion may be casual enough but, in the spirit of the theorey, this can also point to Greensight.

The next major flag for me, was after Arya is known as Arya, and it is known by this stage that the Brave Companions are followers of R'hllor (or Rulore as Arya says). The quote is:

"High Heart had been sacred to the children of the forest, Tom Sevenstrings told her, and some of their magic lingered here still. 'No harm can ever come to those as sleep here', the singer said."

Other than Starks, Reeds and Wildlings, there really are not any other characters who discuss with any belief or credibility of the children of the forest, and certainly not a sincere follower of R'hllor. And really the older generation of Starks seems a bit tepid on the issue.

In another page or so, they meet the old woman who is a prophet, and Tom is there to sing for her, when she gives the prophecy of Cat's death. And again she starts her prophecy with:

"The old gods stir and wont let me sleep"

The next time they see her Tom is asleep but is woken to sing for her, it seems that the first meeting was all "Howland" needed to hear.

Next flag, is when the group is with Lady Smallwood. The Brave Companion's by and large are non Partisan in the war between the Lannisters and Starks. Talking of hanging Wolves and Lion's alike.

At the news of Kingslaye's escape,Tom does not to be as non partisan as the others....

"'They did' said Lady Smallwood. 'Not that I believe a word of it. They claimed Lady Catelyn set him free.'

That startled Tom so badly he snapped a string. 'Go on with you', he said 'that's madness.'"

Other than the next meeting with the old woman prophet, and she calling Arya Death, Tom goes rather quiet til the end of AFFC.

So the points prior to AFFC.

Tom looks like a Crannogman, seems tender towards Arya, speaks of the children of the forest, possible greensight or knowledge of events, and seems Partisan toward the Starks.

Now with AFFC we lose Dondarrion to unCat offscreen. Seems like a bad trade off to lose a sword for a corpse Lady of Stark for the pre AFFC intentions of the Brave Companions, who again were hunting wolf and lion alike. So there had to be some offscreen influence to have that change. (ahem)

Thoros of Myr and Brienne's interaction in AFFC:

"'Justice.' Thoros smiled wanly. 'I remember justice. It had a pleasant taste. Justice was what we were about when Beric led us, or so we told ourselves.'"

And now with Stoneheart leading they seem to be striking more from a vengeant Stark perspective. As Brienne soon finds out.

Finally Jamie's description of Tom o' Sevens when he has managed to infiltrate the conquered Riverrun:

"Jaime had never paid the man much mind before. He was a small fellow, garbed in ragged green breeches and a frayed tunic of a lighter shade of green, with brown leather patches covering the holes. His nose was long and sharp, his smile big and loose. Thin brown hair fell to his collar, snaggled and unwashed. Fifty if he's a day, thought Jaime, a hedge harp, and hard used by life."

This is ending soon I promise :)

The last thing that sticks out in my head, is that Martin has used this gambit before with Mance Rayder. A leader/Lord mascarading as a singer to go undetected in hostile territory. But in this case, instead of passively observing, Howland/Tom is pushing things slowly in the favor of the Starks.

There seems to me, just too much subtle coincidence for this not to be a possibility.

OK Fire AWAY!!!
 
You might have something there. A distinct possibility. Though isn't there a little more history with Tom - in that he is known by a few people predating the war. Therefore Howland would had to have set up the ruse a long time ago... Not saying it to disprove, though, and it's been awhile since I've read them. Altogether possible.

One point: the Brave Companions were Hoat's men, I think; you're talking about the Brotherhood Without Banners.
 
Yes I Was.... gah totally destroyed my credibility with that!

The Hound mocking Dondarrion calling them Brave Companions was stuck in my head... my aplogies.
 
I've not even read the post, but the second line Howland Reed = Tom O' Sevens has me giddy as a Frey serving wine and cheese. Cheers to a great crackpot theory!
 
I love it! That being said, I dont agree with a word of it....but I absolutely love this kind of thinking.

Ive thought a great deal about the lack of Reeds accompanying Robbs call to arms. The best thought Ive come up with is theres little more than household guard at Greywater Watch because theres just not that many Bogmen and they rely on the swamp to protect em.

But you do have a point, if your liege and oldest friend is beheaded and his son calls for your support, what do you do? You do something right? You cant send troops, so you send JoJen to aid Bran and then..... you do what?

Become Tom o' Sevens? Sure, what the heck?
 
I like this theory.
Howland's non-participation in these books is galling. The fact that Tom O' Sevens has been around for a while doesn't necessarily discount that he's Howland he could have been acting as Ned's intelligence gatherer (with or without his knowledge) for several years before current events.
That Jaime did not know him is interesting for, as one of the 2 survivors from the Tower of Joy, you'd think a little fame would have come his way but he seems to actively scurry away from attention anyway. Shame we haven't seen him fight with the BwB as that could give some clues to how lethal he is (or isn't) and that would be a big pointer to his true identity.
Good theory WS and not as crackpot as all that
 
Nice idea, but it's not going to fly, I'm afraid.

First off, as Culhwch points out, Tom is known to have been around for a good while. His history with Edmure is probably the best example. I just can't swallow the idea that Howland has been wandering around as 'Tom' for several years, particularly to 'gather intelligence'. Why would he need to? His son has the gift of foresight, and he himself has other magical abilities.

Speaking of which, there's no indication of Tom ever displaying any such ability: not a killer point, but if Tom=Howland I'd be expecting some sort of clue. And there's none.

Addressing some specific points:

"High Heart had been sacred to the children of the forest, Tom Sevenstrings told her, and some of their magic lingered here still. 'No harm can ever come to those as sleep here', the singer said."

Other than Starks, Reeds and Wildlings, there really are not any other characters who discuss with any belief or credibility of the children of the forest, and certainly not a sincere follower of R'hllor. And really the older generation of Starks seems a bit tepid on the issue.


What Tom says is in the past tense. Most people in Westeros seem to know that the CotF did exist, or are supposed to have: it's only that they still exist that most people don't believe. And it's not at all odd, to me, that a singer would know stories about them. Finally, I'm not sure that Tom was ever a 'sincere follower of R'hllor', and really if he is, this presents more difficulties for the Tom=Howland theory than the reverse.

At the news of Kingslaye's escape,Tom does not to be as non partisan as the others....

"'They did' said Lady Smallwood. 'Not that I believe a word of it. They claimed Lady Catelyn set him free.'

That startled Tom so badly he snapped a string. 'Go on with you', he said 'that's madness.'"


I can't see this reaction as 'partisan', just (as it says) startled. That's reaching, reading something into it that's additional to the text.

Finally, the switch to a more 'vengeance-based' approach by the BwB in AFFC seems to be wholly down to UnCat and Tom seems to be one of those who are less happy about it.
 
OK, if Tom is not Howland, could he be a crannogman spy?

I admit, that I still relish seeing Howland Reed leading crannogman to cut down Freys and Lannisters as they attempt to make it past the Neck.

However, I totally missed that Tom is in Riverun and has a chance to get vengeance on Jaime. That would be one of those great shocking moments if it ever happened.
 
OK, if Tom is not Howland, could he be a crannogman spy?
This is what I tried to post last night, but when I hit the Submit Reply button I got dc'd from Internet Explorer.

Anyway, the gist of my post was this... I get the feeling from Ned's dreams and Meera's stories that Howland and Ned were roughly the same age. If Ned were still alive, then he'd be 40 give or take a year. Tom is noted to be at least 50. Tom seems older than Howland.

I completely echo Aegon's thoughts. I love your thinking WS, but I seriously doubt this theory could be true.

Is Tom a spy? Yes, for the Brotherhood. Is Tom a double agent, ie. is he spying for more than the Brotherhood? He could be spying for Howland. He could be a Faceless Man who has gone undercover for decades in the Riverlands for some unknown reason... highly improbable, though.

What motivations does Tom have? Justice for the oppressed. Revenge against the Freys. Possibly revenge against the Lions, Wolves, and Fish for raiding the Riverlands. Tom would have been about 35 during Robert's Rebellion... could he be bothered by something that far in the past? Ned, Petyr, Cersei, Dany, and many other characters sure are.
 
He could be a Faceless Man who has gone undercover for decades in the Riverlands for some unknown reason... highly improbable, though.

Ah, but he could be a Faceless Man who has recently killed the real Tom... though that's probably even less likely.
 
Anyway, the gist of my post was this... I get the feeling from Ned's dreams and Meera's stories that Howland and Ned were roughly the same age. If Ned were still alive, then he'd be 40 give or take a year. Tom is noted to be at least 50. Tom seems older than Howland.

Take, actually. IIRC, Ned would be about 36 if he were still alive. Significantly younger than Tom, but we don't really have a lot of pointers about what age Howland is - other than that he has teenage children, of course.
 
Trust Raven to spoil everyone's fun by being all sensible just when a crackpot theory is starting to build up a little steam.

You know, it's when he's being a killjoy like this that I wonder what on earth Werthead sees in him.

He's impressed by my absolutely enormous.... knowledge of ASOIAF trivia. ;)
 
Did you know that a specialist in trivia is called a Spermologer? Useless enormity impresses many of us.
 
Why was Edmure so upset by Tom? I guess that part went right over my head when I read it... Anyways, I still see Tom as a relatively minor character, and George can't really boost him up to major character status without making things fairly complicated. With the amount of books left to write, if Howland=Tom then he would have to do a whole lot of explaining and such to make him become a major player, or else he would just not explain things enough and there would be people wondering why this was even introduced. (I know I keep saying something similar in all my posts, but we can't keep getting new story lines or else they won't all be able to get finished!)

To me, Howland is a thing of the past, like Ned and Robert, and the biggest contribution he'll make to the overall plotline is his children.

P.S. Davos in White Harbor, Rickon and Osha in White Harbor? Did I read that right? Might Davos be the new POV for Rickon's part of the story, since Jon can talk about Stannis? Wasn't Davos said to be dead late in AFFC? I'm confused but anticipating... sorry for taking this in a whole new direction, but I was just seeking clarification.
 
Davos already has a POV and darn good one.

Neither Osha nor Rickon are the new POV. GRRM has confirmed that it will be Quentyn Martell.

I do hope that Davos meets up with Rickon and Osha. And I don't think GRRM would kill Davos off stage like that and someone has purposely fed Cersei a lie about our dear Onion Knight.
 
"To me, Howland is a thing of the past, like Ned and Robert, and the biggest contribution he'll make to the overall plotline is his children"

Ouch! I put Howland in the Category along with Benjen as characters who will come back as themselves much later in the story line.

They both seem so important in the Old God's aspects of the North. While the majority of ASOIAF has concentrated on the struggle for the throne, there is still the matter of Winter. Dispatching the others will not be, I'd imagine, a one or two chapter issue. With as much trouble the wildings gave the wall, an army of others and undead, with a suprizing lack of obsidian, will take a bit more effort.
 
I didn't mean Osha or Rickon as the new POV ( I do know it's Q), I just was thinking that maybe Davos would begin updating us about them...
As for the Others, I wasn't really thinking of them, but I still can't imagine Howland becoming a major player, we just haven't heard enough about him to develop him into one. I see him more of possibly a greatjon Umber who you know about but isn't commanding much attention.
Watch, the first chapter of Dance will have him unveiled as an amazing player, and I'll just have to sit in a corner with my head down in shame.
 
Howland's "play" will be about as much as his "play" in Meera's story. He'll make self sacrifices. He'll use his abilities to his utmost. But everything that he accomplishes will be with the aid (and most likely for the benefit) of someone else. In the end, he'll be content with justice and he'll disappear again.
 

Similar threads


Back
Top