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A bit outside your timelines Arther Ferrill in The Origins of War postulated that Alexander the Great's army could have won at Waterloo. Gunpowder was obviously the the major issue, however he balances this out with a number of points.
1. Alexander was a more daring and direct general than Napoleon. Therefore there would have been no delays at Waterloo as per some of Napolean's indecision on the day.
2. The French got with 20ft of the British line. No reason to believe that the phalanx would not have as well.
3. With armour and a forest of pikes once the Greeks closed with the British line them it would have been chaos.
He has a more detailed explanation and it sort of makes sense.
I think that if Alexander had replaced Napoleon, then for a lot of reasons there would never have been a Waterloo. Basically, the French army at this stage had no guarantee of reinforcements. The only chance of winning was by outmanoeuvring and defeating the armies of individual nations with overwhelming odds.
What they couldn't afford was what Waterloo was; a natural killing ground that would slow down and inflict significant casualties on both sides. The vast majority of casualties would be in the rout at the end of a battle, yet even though Wellington's stood firm to the point of victory, they still lost a quarter of their force. If Napoleon had overcome the redoubts and broken the infantry squares, he would have lost an equal number, if not more. Even in victory he would have been left with a severely depleted army, no guarantees of replacements, and another battle imminently afterwards.
So I would say that Alexander would have not split his forces after Ligny, and there likely would never have been a Waterloo in the first place.
If it was a case of replacing the French army and Napoleon with a Macedonian army and Alexander then the phalanx would have not been unlike the French columns, except they would not have been capable of fighting back until extremely close to Wellington's lines. With Wellington being able to bring up his artillery (no chance of being shelled by the Macedonian army), I don't think that Alexander's army would have got anywhere near the enemy lines before being slaughtered.
If you put Alexander in charge of a French army, you almost certainly have a French victory, because Waterloo was arguable one of Napoleon's worst performances. However, as I mentioned above even a French victory would have been more costly than they could afford, making it pyrrhic at best.