Boaz
Happy Easter!
- Joined
- Jul 14, 2005
- Messages
- 6,588
Do you think, at the end of ASOIAF, that the Seven Kingdoms will be united under one rule just like they were when the series started or will the Seven Kingdoms enjoy separate rulers?
Will one person rule the realm? If this is the case, then a Targaryen, Baratheon, Lannister, or a Greyjoy seem to me to have the best chances. Danaerys Stormborn has the best chance to personally unite Westeros and consolidate all power in the Iron Throne. For Stannis to rule, Rh'llor needs to defeat The Other and Rh'llor needs to prove that The Seven are weak. For Tommen or Myrcella to wear a crown, they need a powerful coalition of Lannister, Tyrell, Storm Lords, Bolton, and either Martell or Arryn. If Euron can get Dany to serve him, if Euron can get the Dragons to serve him, if Euron has more magic items up his sleeve, then he might rule in King's Landing.
I don't think the Lannister federation will last. Nor do I think that Rh'llor will prove himself as the God of Gods. Euron's scenario has too many big ifs. In my estimation, Dany has the best chance to be sole ruler of the Seven Kingdoms.
Will the realms be fragmented? Will Westeros be full of smaller kingdoms and principalities as it has been for all of it's history (exepting the last 300 years)?
The backbone of the Seven Kingdoms are the lands and Houses of the Andals... Highgarden (Southlands), Lannister (Westerlands), Arryn (the Vale). The Andals displaced the First Men. The Andals worship The Seven. Baratheon (Stormlands, Crownlands) and Tully (Riverlands) seem to me to be a mix of Andal and First Men, though they have adopted The Seven. But three areas and peoples are definitely not Andals... Stark (the North), Greyjoy (Iron Islands), Martell (Dorne)... and all of these three have strong streaks of independence.
Starks are First Men and they worship the Old Gods. The Northmen have been a separate kingdom, a bastion against Andal agression.
I don't know if it is ever said, but I suspect the Greyjoys are also First Men... though they worship the Drowned God. It seems that from their Islands they ruled the Riverlands through most of history.
The Martells are Rhoynish. The Rhoynar invaded south Westeros and carved out a kingdom. Iirc, the Dornish have mostly adopted the faith of the Andals, though some still worship their Goddess (sorry, I've forgotten).
And I also suspect the Wildlings and the Mountain Clans to be First Men.
All that is to say that these three regions and peoples (coincidentally on the fringes of Westeros) have the best chances to re-establish autonomous Kingdoms. The Greyjoy have already done this. The North is under Bolton rule, supported by the Lannister coalition. But Stark loyalties run high, and when a Stark heir emerges the North will bleed. Robb Stark declared himself King in the North... his younger siblings might do the same. And as for Dorne, if the Martells can ally with the Targaryens, then don't look for an independant Dorne. But if Quentyn cannot marry Dany, then look for the Martells to declare independance of Lannister rule.
So the problem left is... will the Andalish coalition of Lannister, Tyrell, Frey, Bolton and Storm Lords hold together? Will the Andal oppostition of First Men and Rhoynar overcome their mutual resentment? I don't think so... the Tyrells, Arryns, Freys and Lannister distrust each other too much to form a lasting bond that will defeat the Greyjoys, Starks, and Martells... none of the latter (maybe Euron with Dragons) pose a threat to take over all Seven Kingdoms. Only a major national threat of a political nature (the religious nature of The Other does not phase the Andals) will keep them united under Lannister leadership... and Dany is this threat.
Even among the Andals, some prefer the Valyrian rule of the Targaryens to that of another Andal.
So as for a prediction... I predict that every thing south of the Neck will be ruled from King's Landing. I predict Winterfell will be an autonomous kingdom. I predict the Iron Islands will be ravaged and left a smoking ruin.
Will one person rule the realm? If this is the case, then a Targaryen, Baratheon, Lannister, or a Greyjoy seem to me to have the best chances. Danaerys Stormborn has the best chance to personally unite Westeros and consolidate all power in the Iron Throne. For Stannis to rule, Rh'llor needs to defeat The Other and Rh'llor needs to prove that The Seven are weak. For Tommen or Myrcella to wear a crown, they need a powerful coalition of Lannister, Tyrell, Storm Lords, Bolton, and either Martell or Arryn. If Euron can get Dany to serve him, if Euron can get the Dragons to serve him, if Euron has more magic items up his sleeve, then he might rule in King's Landing.
I don't think the Lannister federation will last. Nor do I think that Rh'llor will prove himself as the God of Gods. Euron's scenario has too many big ifs. In my estimation, Dany has the best chance to be sole ruler of the Seven Kingdoms.
Will the realms be fragmented? Will Westeros be full of smaller kingdoms and principalities as it has been for all of it's history (exepting the last 300 years)?
The backbone of the Seven Kingdoms are the lands and Houses of the Andals... Highgarden (Southlands), Lannister (Westerlands), Arryn (the Vale). The Andals displaced the First Men. The Andals worship The Seven. Baratheon (Stormlands, Crownlands) and Tully (Riverlands) seem to me to be a mix of Andal and First Men, though they have adopted The Seven. But three areas and peoples are definitely not Andals... Stark (the North), Greyjoy (Iron Islands), Martell (Dorne)... and all of these three have strong streaks of independence.
Starks are First Men and they worship the Old Gods. The Northmen have been a separate kingdom, a bastion against Andal agression.
I don't know if it is ever said, but I suspect the Greyjoys are also First Men... though they worship the Drowned God. It seems that from their Islands they ruled the Riverlands through most of history.
The Martells are Rhoynish. The Rhoynar invaded south Westeros and carved out a kingdom. Iirc, the Dornish have mostly adopted the faith of the Andals, though some still worship their Goddess (sorry, I've forgotten).
And I also suspect the Wildlings and the Mountain Clans to be First Men.
All that is to say that these three regions and peoples (coincidentally on the fringes of Westeros) have the best chances to re-establish autonomous Kingdoms. The Greyjoy have already done this. The North is under Bolton rule, supported by the Lannister coalition. But Stark loyalties run high, and when a Stark heir emerges the North will bleed. Robb Stark declared himself King in the North... his younger siblings might do the same. And as for Dorne, if the Martells can ally with the Targaryens, then don't look for an independant Dorne. But if Quentyn cannot marry Dany, then look for the Martells to declare independance of Lannister rule.
So the problem left is... will the Andalish coalition of Lannister, Tyrell, Frey, Bolton and Storm Lords hold together? Will the Andal oppostition of First Men and Rhoynar overcome their mutual resentment? I don't think so... the Tyrells, Arryns, Freys and Lannister distrust each other too much to form a lasting bond that will defeat the Greyjoys, Starks, and Martells... none of the latter (maybe Euron with Dragons) pose a threat to take over all Seven Kingdoms. Only a major national threat of a political nature (the religious nature of The Other does not phase the Andals) will keep them united under Lannister leadership... and Dany is this threat.
Even among the Andals, some prefer the Valyrian rule of the Targaryens to that of another Andal.
So as for a prediction... I predict that every thing south of the Neck will be ruled from King's Landing. I predict Winterfell will be an autonomous kingdom. I predict the Iron Islands will be ravaged and left a smoking ruin.