I can't know his own thoughts but I'd guess that most people in his situation would be fearful of creating an ending that didn't measure up to the journey. It could be that some part of Martin is scared to finish the series. He's mastered the beginning and middle of the tale but the ending is a different beast and Martin does seem to have difficulty in bringing plot lines to conclusion.
Not that this thinking goes on at a conscious level. It would manifest as writer's block but Martin would likely be in denial of the cause. And he strikes me as a man capable of monumental feats of denial. Only in 2014 did he acknowledge in an interview that the HBO series might overtake the published books, saying something like "I'd better get going on those".
At 6-8 years per book, and likely three more books to end the series, Martin will be in his late 70s to mid 80s when he finally finishes the series. I'll leave it at that since I don't want to be morbid...
DL, welcome to the Chrons! Sincerely. Welcome. This is going to be a long thread. In a few paragraphs, I'll disagree with your numbers, but none of the rest of the content should be taken personally. I'll just comment, make observations, and then start preaching at the end.
Like I mentioned in my last post, I don't know his thoughts either... all I can do is look at mine and take a guess at his. I agree that he's in a completely different place in life now than he was nineteen years ago when AGOT was published. I daresay we all are. I know I am.
All humans are capable of monumental feats of denial. I know I am. Maybe I'm in denial that the series will be finished sooner rather than later... I'm hopeful.
I respectfully disagree with your math. In the thread
The original aSoIaF synopsis, Brian quotes a cover letter from GRRM in October 1993 with thirteen attached written chapters. GRRM started the genesis of what became AGOT in the summer of 1991. From germination to publication AGOT took five years. Two and a half years later came ACOK. ASOS came out less than two years later. The fans' wait was five years from November 2000 to November 2005 when AFFC was published. The longest time between books was the five and a half years for ADWD in July 2011. It's only been three and a half years since the last book. There has never been a six to eight year window between books in this series. From the concept in summer 1991 to book five in summer 2011, he's averaged four years per book. The last two totaled ten years eight months... and I do not disagree that we should expect the last two books to come to publication in roughly the same time frame. Since we're three and a half into book six and it takes another two years and if book seven takes an unprecedented six years we're still looking at a 2023 end to the seven book series.
If it is expanded to include an eighth book... Who knows? It was originally pitched as a trilogy. Three plus one plus two plus one is not a trilogy...
GRRM is now sixty-six years old. Eight years from now, he'll be 74... which is hardly "late 70's to mid 80's."
But unfinished is the word unspoken. What will we do if ASOIAF is never finished?
Well, in the case of JRRT, his son has reworked some as
The Silmarillion and published some in it's original or edited states...
The Book of Lost Tales, Unfinished Tales, HOMES.
The Canterbury Tales, by Geoffrey Chaucer, was supposed to be a trilogy. But Chaucer's schedule never allowed him to write two more books.
Lord Byron's
Don Juan, Samuel Taylor Coleridge's
Kubla Khan, Thomas Aquinas'
Summa Theologica, and Frank Herbert's
Dune series were all unfinished or at least the authors had planned to enlarge the story at a later point.
Since the advent of analog recording, we now have whole catalogs of unfinished works. The Beatles, Jimi Hendrix, Johnny Cash.... Elvis had a number one song thirty years after his death. Brian Wilson finished
Smile forty years after leaving the studio!
There was one Renaissance sculptor (his name escapes me) who made a career of unfinished sculpts...
non finito or
infinito, I forget. I was always a very poor art student.
I've said it before... we've got to enjoy the ride while it lasts. What kind of online, salon, book club, or water cooler discussion is there for Robin Hobbs' Farseer Trilogy? None. And still none. The Farseer Trilogy is excellent! But they were published in '95, 96' and '97... and the shared community excitement over them is gone. Maybe you could convince your friend to read it... then you'd have one other person's views on the subject.
What about
Harry Potter?
Harry Potter was the biggest thing to hit planet earth since Beatlemania! How much action has there been since January 1, 2014 on the Chrons'
Rowling forum? Nineteen different threads have seen action. What about
JRRT? He's the godfather of fantasy lit! Thirty-five active threads since Jan 2014. Well, GRRM's forum has had 105 different threads see replies since Jan 2014. Why? Is GRRM better than JRRT or more popular than Rowling? No.
Folks, we are in the moment. This is it. If neither Potter nor Middle-earth can sustain thriving interest, then what will happen with this forum? Within twelve months of the end of the series, this forum will have action in only three dozen threads. Within two years that number will be a dozen... Just take a look at the
Robin Hobb forum. She's still writing, but only thirteen threads were replied to in 2014... and none have seen action in seventy days!
This means we are sitting on our ASOIAF surfboard right now waiting for that next wave. Some newcomers just caught the last wave and want to talk and laugh as we wait the next big one. Surfers wait minutes or hours for a wave... our next wave is in two years. I like the camaraderie, the joking, the trivia, the discussion as we watch the next big one slowly build up...
So enjoy it. Cherish it. Enjoy the ride. There may be an abrupt ending, but that does not mean the ride was not fun. A surfer's favorite moment is not getting back to the beach... it's the anticipation, it's about being in the moment catching a wave, it's about riding the wave, it's about talking to friends about it later... it's definitely not the flying back home.
We have to hope that next wave is coming and that it's a good one. I know I am.